Climate Change



NASHVILLE — I was writing a love letter to autumn and its perfect miracle of timing — the way berries ripen just as songbirds migrate through berry-filled forests — when the songbirds suddenly began to die. With no warning at all, thousands and thousands of birds, possibly millions of birds, were simply falling out of the sky.

It’s not yet clear why the birds were dying — smoke from the wildfires on the West Coast? an unseasonable cold snap? the prolonged drought? — but whatever its immediate reason, the die-off was almost certainly related to climate change or some other human-wrought hazard. Every possible explanation for the birds’ deaths leads back to our own choices.

We think of songbirds as indicator species — so sensitive to environmental disruptions that they serve as an early warning of trouble. But the fact that the environment has become increasingly inhospitable to songbirds — and to human beings — is only one measure of a planet under life-threatening stress.

The earth is getting measurably hotter, each year breaking records set the year before, while Arctic sea ice continues to thin. Wildfires are growing hotter, more frequent, more widespread and more deadly. Northeastern forests are sick. Our oceans are full of plastic. The world’s largest wetland is on fire, and the Amazon rainforest is on its way to becoming a savanna. The pandemic that has paralyzed global life is itself the manifestation of a disordered relationship between human beings and the natural world.

None of this is new. We’ve seen it all happening, worsening with every passing year, for decades now. Any chance of reversing climate change is long since gone, and the climate will inevitably continue to warm. The question now is only how much it will warm, how terrible we will let it become. Climate Disruption Is Now Locked In. The Next Moves Will Be Crucial.
 
Cows Make Climate Change Worse. Could Seaweed Help?
Cows Make Climate Change Worse. Could Seaweed Help?


Scientists have spent years coaxing a fussy red seaweed called asparagopsis into cultivation. Their plan: to feed the underwater plant to cows and sheep in an effort to make the animals less environmentally destructive.

The belching and flatulence of livestock release large quantities of methane and make up around 4% of global greenhouse-gas emissions, according to data from the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization. That’s equivalent to the amount contributed by Japan and Germany combined.

Seaweed alters bovine digestion, reducing the methane an animal produces by 80% or more, according to scientists at the University of California, Davis, and Australia’s national science agency. It is one of the plants and chemicals that meat and dairy businesses are experimenting with to reduce their contribution to global warming.
 
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Discourses of Climate Delay

Where is your favorite politician on the scope?

Where is your old uncle?

Where is your neighbour?

And where are YOU?



‘Discourses of climate delay’ pervade current debates on climate action. These discourses accept the existence of climate change, but justify inaction or inadequate efforts. In contemporary discussions on what actions should be taken, by whom and how fast, proponents of climate delay would argue for minimal action or action taken by others.

They focus attention on the negative social effects of climate policies and raise doubt that mitigation is possible. Here, we outline the common features of climate delay discourses and provide a guide to identifying them.

Lamb WF, Mattioli G, Levi S, et al. Discourses of climate delay. Global Sustainability 2020;3:e17. Discourses of climate delay | Global Sustainability | Cambridge Core
 
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This is solid work by Liu and colleagues, and builds on a body of evidence that has emerged over the past decade. See e.g. this GRL article we (me, @ClimateOfGavin & others) published back in 2009, key graphic below. https://twitter.com/MichaelEMann/status/1354557019257270277?s=20

Really important paper in Nature today, finding the apparent Holocene warm period (from 6k to 10k years ago) was likely an artifact of seasonal rather than annual proxy measurements.

This suggests global temperatures are already outside Holocene bounds.

Bova, S., Rosenthal, Y., Liu, Z. et al. Seasonal origin of the thermal maxima at the Holocene and the last interglacial. Nature 589, 548–553 (2021).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-03155-x

Proxy reconstructions from marine sediment cores indicate peak temperatures in the first half of the last and current interglacial periods (the thermal maxima of the Holocene epoch, 10,000 to 6,000 years ago, and the last interglacial period, 128,000 to 123,000 years ago) that arguably exceed modern warmth. By contrast, climate models simulate monotonic warming throughout both periods.

This substantial model–data discrepancy undermines confidence in both proxy reconstructions and climate models, and inhibits a mechanistic understanding of recent climate change. Here we show that previous global reconstructions of temperature in the Holocene and the last interglacial period8 reflect the evolution of seasonal, rather than annual, temperatures and we develop a method of transforming them to mean annual temperatures.

We further demonstrate that global mean annual sea surface temperatures have been steadily increasing since the start of the Holocene (about 12,000 years ago), first in response to retreating ice sheets (12 to 6.5 thousand years ago), and then as a result of rising greenhouse gas concentrations (0.25 ± 0.21 degrees Celsius over the past 6,500 years or so).

However, mean annual temperatures during the last interglacial period were stable and warmer than estimates of temperatures during the Holocene, and we attribute this to the near-constant greenhouse gas levels and the reduced extent of ice sheets.

We therefore argue that the climate of the Holocene differed from that of the last interglacial period in two ways: first, larger remnant glacial ice sheets acted to cool the early Holocene, and second, rising greenhouse gas levels in the late Holocene warmed the planet. Furthermore, our reconstructions demonstrate that the modern global temperature has exceeded annual levels over the past 12,000 years and probably approaches the warmth of the last interglacial period (128,000 to 115,000 years ago).
 
It’s been 'climate change' in this thread rather consistently for 11 years in case you didn't notice.
Yes, i mean some people just don't mind the mainstream constantly contradicting themselves, changing narrative, and so on.
It's been 4-5 decades of contradicting climate propaganda, all the mainstream models have been already debunked by world class independent scientists/climatologists, and it seems climate change is just the new worldview/religion for the masses, and the pretext to strip them of luxuries like meat (cow farts cause global warming), cars, small/medium size industry, and everything else.
 
Yes, i mean some people just don't mind the mainstream constantly contradicting themselves, changing narrative, and so on.
It's been 4-5 decades of contradicting climate propaganda, all the mainstream models have been already debunked by world class independent scientists/climatologists, and it seems climate change is just the new worldview/religion for the masses, and the pretext to strip them of luxuries like meat (cow farts cause global warming), cars, small/medium size industry, and everything else.
Yes sir you are correct, here is a summary to the link at the bottom-

SUMMARY

Modern doomsayers have been predicting climate and environmental disaster since the 1960s. They continue to do so today.

None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true.

What follows is a collection of notably wild predictions from notable people in government and science.

More than merely spotlighting the failed predictions, this collection shows that the makers of failed apocalyptic predictions often are individuals holding respected positions in government and science.

While such predictions have been and continue to be enthusiastically reported by a media eager for sensational headlines, the failures are typically not revisited.

 
Heinzerling L. Climate Change in the Supreme Court. N Engl J Med. 2022 Jun 16;386(24):2255-2257. doi: 10.1056/NEJMp2201800. Epub 2022 May 11. PMID: 35544378. Climate Change in the Supreme Court | NEJM


Solomon Caren G., Salas Renee N., Malina Debra, Sacks Chana A., Hardin C. Corey, Prewitt Edward, Lee Thomas H., Rubin Eric J.. (2022) Fossil-Fuel Pollution and Climate Change — A New NEJM Group Series. N Engl J Med 386:24, 2328-2329. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2206300


Perera F, Nadeau K. Climate Change, Fossil-Fuel Pollution, and Children's Health. N Engl J Med. 2022 Jun 16;386(24):2303-2314. doi: 10.1056/NEJMra2117706. PMID: 35704482. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMra2117706


Keswani A, Akselrod H, Anenberg Susan C. Health and Clinical Impacts of Air Pollution and Linkages with Climate Change. NEJM Evidence;0:EVIDra2200068. Health and Clinical Impacts of Air Pollution and Linkages with Climate Change | NEJM Evidence
 
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