Trump Timeline ... Trumpocalypse

Trump offers to temporarily suspend one racist & probably illegal action of his in exchange for receiving support for a different racist & undoubtedly wasteful & ineffective other initiative. That's not negotiation. That's a symptom of a character defect and mental weakness.

It is not negotiation. It is the illusion of negotiation. It has often been said Trump is a stupid person's idea of a smart person and a poor person's idea of a rich person. But he is also an ignorant, corrupt, pretender to the presidency's idea of what a president is.

He is negotiating with himself, offering non-concession concessions that only underscore his misunderstanding of how politics work, of his own political situation, of his opponent and last, but not least, of right and wrong.

When his moronic and offensive gambit is rejected for being moronic and offensive, he then goes into a childish snit on the Twitters and starts attacking his opponents because they have rejected his specious, insupportable, transparent and frankly, silly, arguments.

He has shut down the government of the United States for a month for a border project not one single Congressperson of either party who serves a border constituency supports. He has done it despite the prior positions of his entire party.

He has done it to appease a few loud voices playing in the non-stop Fox News loops that shrieks in his head morning, noon and night. His support among the American people is plummeting despite his desperate protestations to the contrary.

But there is no way out, no way to achieve his goal w/out a compromise that would undo his white nationalist policy platform & thus inflame those loud & insistent & irrational & hateful voices in his head. You can see it in his pronouncements. The process is driving him mad...

...well, madder. There are two reasonable compromises out there. One is to reopen the government by authorizing everything but the wall money and to open that to future debate. The second would be to give a little money for his miserable wall...

...in exchange for permanently restoring DACA and undoing the worst of his border policies notably family separation, unfair prosecution, and the creation of concentration camps on the border and targeting immigrants serving in the military, etc.

The problem with both approaches is they will be perceived by Trump's racist core of supporters as defeats. And this is what torments him the most. Because in his own mind, he is the great negotiator, the mastermind who is smarter than everyone else.

He forgets his bankruptcies and his myriad past defeats and revealed frauds. He has suppressed them. Because while he actually has almost nothing in common with his so-called "base" he does share one thing with them.

He is a loser's idea of a winner. The problem is that kind of misconception has a habit of being revealed to be false because sooner or later reality creeps in. That is happening for Trump now. He is the con man who has crossed the fatal line when he's understood to be a grifter.

The foolish campaign for the wall is just one symptom of this--when his signature campaign promise inevitably becomes his signature political defeat. Foreign leaders are realizing he can't deliver on his promises. Domestic audiences are realizing his "deals" are all scams.

And prosecutors are slowly pulling back the curtains to reveal that the man behind them is not only a crooked huckster but that he is worse, that he is only truth are the lies his sells to enrich and empower himself, regardless of their costs or the betrayals they involve.

He is a loser's idea of a winner. And he is one of those losers who has fallen for his own deception. But slowly, inevitably, he will face the hard truth and as defeat turns into successive defeat, and revealed crimes turn into convictions...

...he will start to be seen as everyone's idea of a traitor & a crook, of a liar & a threat to the country he tried to con.


Thread by @djrothkopf: "Trump offers to temporarily suspend one racist & probably illegal action of his in exchange for receiving support for a different racist […]"
 


I believe the Buzzfeed article generated such a media frenzy not only because of the explosive nature of the allegations but because The Establishment -- Beltway insiders in the media and on Capitol Hill, even a growing number of Republicans -- is coming to realize what more than half of everyday citizens have known for exactly two years, that Donald Trump is not fit to serve one additional day as our president, and that the risk accelerates with each day he remains in the Oval Office.

It’s an existential crisis for the American Experiment that runs much deeper than Trump and Russia (or “Rusher,” as Trump might say) and that many in the D.C. crowd are, in fact, complicit in. And yet no one knows how to get out of this mess. The idea of Trump caught red-handed committing a “high crime” was their easy way out, and Mueller is their deus ex machina.

Let’s stipulate right now that America is in the midst of overlapping crises that are worse, arguably, than anything we’ve seen since 1861, and that the question of Trump’s criminality -- while a vitally important one -- is only one piece of the puzzle.

America is facing a political crisis -- with major chunks of the federal government now shut down for a month with no end in sight, with 800,000 workers https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/this-is-pretty-humiliating-food-banks-fill-in-for-paychecks-as-government-shutdown-drags-on/2019/01/19/60f696fc-1c04-11e9-88fe-f9f77a3bcb6c_story.html?utm_term=.087c9cbdfa7b (struggling to get by), with many of them working for no pay in a nation that supposedly abolished slavery 154 years ago, and with Trump not able to end the crisis as long as he’s in thrall to right-wing talk radio hosts.

America is facing a moral crisis -- as shown by families seeking the legal right of asylum instead getting ripped apart at the U.S. southern border, with thousands of children held in inhumane tent cities or even cages, or by the growing number of hate crimes from coast to coast, like this week’s “https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2019/01/20/it-was-getting-ugly-native-american-drummer-speaks-maga-hat-wearing-teens-who-surrounded-him/?utm_term=.752842860843 (Make America Great Again” harassment) at the Lincoln Memorial of a proud Native American hero, in a nation where simply chanting the president’s name (“Trump! Trump! Trump!”) is now a symbol of white supremacy.

America is facing an unprecedented crisis of confidence -- thanks to the growing, impossible-to-ignore evidence that a president who was elected with an assist from an often-adversarial in Russia may in fact be an agent, consciously or unconsciously, of that foreign power who is consistently advocating policies that aren’t in the best interest of the United States yet somehow benefit Vladimir Putin.

...

But it’s time to acknowledge the problem with the Mueller probe -- that it’s not going to get America out of this mess. The only thing that can do that is an impeachment inquiry into President Trump, a process that will be not secretive but transparent, not legalistic but democratic in its nature.

...

Until this month, Republican control of the House -- and their fealty to the Trump-Fox talk radio axis -- made that a mathematical impossibility. Now that Democrats control the lower chamber, it is imperative that they conquer their decades of political timidity and exercise their Constitutional duty -- to investigate the president’s fitness to complete his term. And these investigations should be conducted largely in public, in the same manner as the 1973 Senate Watergate hearings. News that Cohen will testify in public in early February is only a start. The American people demand -- and deserve -- much, much more.

Let’s stop waiting for Bob Mueller to come down from the mountaintop. It’s time for the American people, our leaders, and our battered system to relearn how to climb that mountain ourselves.
 


BuzzFeed’s piece from May reveals that Cohen would have been in discussions with one of two banks in January 2016: VTB or GenBank.

Both were sanctioned. While Sater (who seems to have knowingly set this trap) dismissed the import of the sanctions, Cohen clearly knew — and left record that he knew in communications with Sater — that they were the intended funders.

A former GRU officer contact of Sater’s was key to obtaining funding from VTB.

Obtaining funding from GenBank would have relied on Putin and Peskov.

The BuzzFeed article makes it clear that Sater’s GRU contact got back involved after Cohen’s conversation with Peskov’s assistant.

All of which is to say that when Cohen called Peskov’s assistant, he would have told her that he was speaking on behalf of Donald Trump, that Trump remained interested in a Trump Tower in Moscow (as he had been in 2013, the last time Putin had dangled a personal meeting with Trump), and that on Trump’s behalf Cohen was willing to discuss making a deal involving both a sanctioned bank (whichever one it was) and a former GRU officer.

So it’s not just that Trump was pursuing a real estate deal while running for President. He was pursuing a real estate deal involving a sanctioned bank — possibly one sanctioned for its involvement in Crimea — and involving someone with ties to the intelligence agency that was preparing to hack Hillary Clinton’s campaign manager.

Cohen told Peskov’s assistant Trump was willing to negotiate that deal while running for President. The assistant wrote all that down (how Mueller knows this is an interesting question on its own right). And then she or Peskov passed on at least the content of the notes to get Putin’s office to contact Sater.

And all that happened before Trump performed unexpectedly well in the Iowa caucuses on February 1.

Last year, I argued that — pee tape or no — the kompromat Putin has on Trump consists of a series of receipts of Trump formally communicating his willingness to enter into a conspiracy with Russia, receipts that would be devastating if Putin released them.

What Cohen’s plea deal makes clear is that Putin pocketed the first of those receipts — a receipt showing Trump’s willingness to work with both sanctioned banks and the GRU — even before the first vote was cast. Even before GRU hacked its first Democratic target (though APT 29 had been spying on the Democrats since the previous summer).

Discussing a real estate deal is not, as Trump has repeated, illegal. If that’s all this were about, Trump and Cohen might not have lied about it.

But it’s not. Even before the GRU hacked John Podesta, even before Don Jr told his June 9 visitors that his dad would consider lifting sanctions if he got elected, Michael Cohen let a key Putin deputy know that Trump would be happy to discuss real estate deals that involved both partnering with the GRU and with sanctioned banks.

And Putin has been sitting on that receipt ever since.
 


Contrary to pessimistic assessments of his durability, Trump’s chances for a second term are shrinking with little hope of an about-face in public opinion. How did we get to this point?

First, special counsel Robert S. Mueller III does his job methodically, secretly and effectively, wrapping up one witness after another. Despite the Trump onslaught, he retains the confidence of most Americans. ...

Second, Trump’s play-to-the-base strategy was a blunder with enormous ramifications. ...

Third, in the midst of a scandal, most presidents can fall back on their role as commander in chief and architect of U.S. foreign policy to sustain their aura of power. Trump’s foreign policy, aside from the taint from his subservience to Russia, is characterized as chaotic, frightening and entirely ineffective. ...

Fourth, Trump’s narcissism, incompetence and rotten judgment have led him to force out any adviser with a modicum of common sense, experience and influence. ...

Finally, a primary challenge to Trump was once unthinkable. However strongly Republicans cling to Trump in the face of Democratic attacks and harsh media coverage, Republicans are increasingly open to a primary challenge. ...

This is not a prediction that Trump will be impeached and removed or forced to resign. Republicans remain sheeplike in their devotion. However, it is more likely than at any time in his presidency that he won’t finish or won’t be nominated. And if by some miracle he survives a primary challenge, he’ll reach the general election bruised and battered, a much easier target than any president since Gerald Ford. Indeed, with each passing day, the 2020 election looks like the post-Watergate 1976 election. Now imagine 1976 if Nixon were still the incumbent.
 
That smirk.

I know that smirk.

I went to high school with that smirk.

It was never good news for the poor kid, for the black kid, for the gay kid, for the weird kid, for the unpopular kid.

And just like in high school, that smirk is backed up by dozens of suck-up followers, gleefully mocking whoever the smirk has targeted.

Watch the video. This kid and his buddies taunt an elderly man.

Why? Because generations of the smirk have taught them that's their birthright.

Problem is, now that smirk has the full power of the President of the United States amplifying and okaying it's every move.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/social-issues/picture-of-the-conflict-on-the-mall-comes-into-clearer-focus/2019/01/20/c078f092-1ceb-11e9-9145-3f74070bbdb9_story.html?outputType=comment&commentId=54850ab8-6814-4fc2-a68a-2668d0d8591c

50309690_10217622050965188_4420165249081016320_n.jpg
 
I decided to watch the whole video from this event to get a better understanding of what transpired. Here's what I saw (Cliff's Notes version) if you're curious and don't feel like investing 1:20 of your life:

The video starts with a small handful (maybe 5?) "Black Hebrew Israelites" (a fringe religious cult, nope not "Muslims") shouting and preaching. They direct their shouts and comments towards various passersby, including arguing with another African American couple at the beginning. Then they start saying disparaging comments and curse about Bill Clinton, and how many black people he imprisoned. Then they curse about "Kanye n****s." Then things start heating up between them and the group of about 100 Catholic high schoolers in MAGA hats (arguably also a religious cult).

Things continue to heat up between the small group of Israelites and the MAGAs. About 1:12 into the video, Nathan Phillips and a couple of other Native Americans who were at a nearby unrelated gathering, comes in to try to break up what he perceives as a bad situation about to turn bloody. He's a former Marine with a pretty amazing set of life experiences, and his comments about what he saw, why he felt compelled to intervene, and what he experienced during the event are very telling (read link for his full interview).

So now we have what appears to be about three Native Americans with drums singing/drumming as an attempt to try to defuse tensions between the large group of MAGAs and the small group of Israelites. This might be where the clip that went viral of the smirking/disdainful kid was taken, but it's hard to tell for certain. Either way, as Nathan walks slowly towards the group - in a completely non-threatening way, especially considering how small vastly outnumbered he is - the MAGAs enclose him and start chanting the familiar Florida State Seminole chant and getting highly animated/aggressive.

At this point,t he Israelite preacher repreats, "y'all better not touch him," several times, sensing that things looked like they were about to turn violent.

Nathan appears to have put himself in harm's way to try to break up what he thought was about to be a violent mob fight, but quickly senses the MAGAs were about to turn violent against him. Two very salient comments Nathan made in his interview about things were at this point in the event:

"If their own instructors, their own teachers, their own chaperones, would have handled the situation right from the beginning, it would have never have happened," Phillips said. "I would have never been bothered with it."

"I'm a Marine Corps veteran and I know what that mob mentality can be like. That's where it was at. It got to apoint where they just needed something for them to .. just tear them apart. I mean, it was that ugly." Phillips said he recalled "the looks in these young men's faces ... I mean, if you go back and look at the lynchings that was done (in America) ... and you'd see the faces on those people ... The glee and the hatred in their faces, that's what these faces looked like."

So now the counter-narrative from third party MAGAs is that this is some combination of media spin and/or anti-MAGA conspiracy, and that the crowd of 100% MAGAs was about to be attacked by either: a) the five israelites who never moved, or b) a small, elderly Native American man with a drum who moved slowly into the space between the two groups to break up what he thought was about to turn into a violent situation.

And that's 2019 America. Events happen. Data happen. And we filter it through our minds into the Truths we already know to be True regardless of what actually happens. Then we blame the media for dividing us, even the the story broke on social media long before any mainstream media outlets picked it up.

My interpretation, which may be flawed: Nathan is the ONLY hero/good buy here. The Israelites behaved horribly. At least some of the kids were on the verge of turning into a violent mob, and behaved aggressively and disrespectfully, which one might expect from a group of 100 young males with Donald Trump as their idol. The primary blame, IMO, is on the parents/chaperones, who should have moved the kids out of there about 10-15 minutes into this video. My take only, and I may have missed something.

 
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