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Trump Timeline ... Trumpocalypse
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Once a population has converged on a consensus, how can a group with a minority viewpoint overturn it?
Theoretical models have emphasized tipping points, whereby a sufficiently large minority can change the societal norm. Centola et al. devised a system to study this in controlled experiments. Groups of people who had achieved a consensus about the name of a person shown in a picture were individually exposed to a confederate who promoted a different name.
The only incentive was to coordinate. When the number of confederates was roughly 25% of the group, the opinion of the majority could be tipped to that of the minority.
Centola D, Becker J, Brackbill D, Baronchelli A. Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention. Science 2018;360:1116. Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention
Theoretical models of critical mass have shown how minority groups can initiate social change dynamics in the emergence of new social conventions. Here, we study an artificial system of social conventions in which human subjects interact to establish a new coordination equilibrium.
The findings provide direct empirical demonstration of the existence of a tipping point in the dynamics of changing social conventions. When minority groups reached the critical mass—that is, the critical group size for initiating social change—they were consistently able to overturn the established behavior.
The size of the required critical mass is expected to vary based on theoretically identifiable features of a social setting. Our results show that the theoretically predicted dynamics of critical mass do in fact emerge as expected within an empirical system of social coordination.
Theoretical models have emphasized tipping points, whereby a sufficiently large minority can change the societal norm. Centola et al. devised a system to study this in controlled experiments. Groups of people who had achieved a consensus about the name of a person shown in a picture were individually exposed to a confederate who promoted a different name.
The only incentive was to coordinate. When the number of confederates was roughly 25% of the group, the opinion of the majority could be tipped to that of the minority.
Centola D, Becker J, Brackbill D, Baronchelli A. Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention. Science 2018;360:1116. Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention
Theoretical models of critical mass have shown how minority groups can initiate social change dynamics in the emergence of new social conventions. Here, we study an artificial system of social conventions in which human subjects interact to establish a new coordination equilibrium.
The findings provide direct empirical demonstration of the existence of a tipping point in the dynamics of changing social conventions. When minority groups reached the critical mass—that is, the critical group size for initiating social change—they were consistently able to overturn the established behavior.
The size of the required critical mass is expected to vary based on theoretically identifiable features of a social setting. Our results show that the theoretically predicted dynamics of critical mass do in fact emerge as expected within an empirical system of social coordination.
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The difference now is Trump. it’s a whole new ballgame. if North Korea crosses trump fire and fury will be coming their way, no doubt about it. and I think they realize that now but time will tell.
Trump is not spineless like Obama who sets redlines for people across and then does absolutely nothing. Obama degraded America in many ways that was just one.
TrumpIdiots ...
Trump tells Fox that parents of soldiers killed in the Korean War asked him on the campaign trail to bring their sons home. (Absolute minimum age of such a parents is 101 years old. Probable age 110 to 120.)
Trump tells Fox that parents of soldiers killed in the Korean War asked him on the campaign trail to bring their sons home. (Absolute minimum age of such a parents is 101 years old. Probable age 110 to 120.)
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[Thread] I’m a part of the first group of journalists to go into the shelter for detained child migrants in Brownsville Texas since the zero tolerance separation policy was announced. 1000+ boys here.
Going in right now.
Just finished tour, don’t even know where to start.
One of the first things you notice when you walk into the shelter — no joke — a mural of Trump with the quote “sometimes losing a battle you find a new way to win the war.”
Presidential murals everywhere. But that one is 1st.
Going in right now.
Just finished tour, don’t even know where to start.
One of the first things you notice when you walk into the shelter — no joke — a mural of Trump with the quote “sometimes losing a battle you find a new way to win the war.”
Presidential murals everywhere. But that one is 1st.
[Thread] State officials tearing children and babies from their parents and putting them in camps is absolutely one of the worst things the Trump regime has done.
It is heartbreaking, horrifying and it should be the priority of every elected official to stop this now.
The Trump admin are putting children in camps with no access to their parents and they are doing it with impunity.
This level of impunity is unusual even in autocratic states. When there is child labor or child abuse, officials will usually take pains to hide it.
Not here.
They are flaunting a practice so unbearably cruel it hits a primal note of fear with Americans, and it should.
It is heartbreaking, horrifying and it should be the priority of every elected official to stop this now.
The Trump admin are putting children in camps with no access to their parents and they are doing it with impunity.
This level of impunity is unusual even in autocratic states. When there is child labor or child abuse, officials will usually take pains to hide it.
Not here.
They are flaunting a practice so unbearably cruel it hits a primal note of fear with Americans, and it should.
“You are a slow learner, Winston."
"How can I help it? How can I help but see what is in front of my eyes? Two and two are four."
"Sometimes, Winston. Sometimes they are five. Sometimes they are three. Sometimes they are all of them at once. You must try harder. It is not easy to become sane.”
― George Orwell, 1984
"How can I help it? How can I help but see what is in front of my eyes? Two and two are four."
"Sometimes, Winston. Sometimes they are five. Sometimes they are three. Sometimes they are all of them at once. You must try harder. It is not easy to become sane.”
― George Orwell, 1984
In plain English, the attorney general’s letter means that the Trump administration no longer supports a provision of the Affordable Care Act, a.k.a. Obamacare, that makes it possible for people to buy insurance if they have preexisting health conditions.
Sessions, in an unusual step, sided with plaintiffs who had argued the ACA was now unconstitutional because Congress, in the tax bill, eliminated the penalty for not buying insurance, known as the individual mandate. Sessions said the Justice Department would no longer defend the law in a lawsuit brought by Republican-led states, a surprise stance that led to the resignation of a senior career lawyer at the Justice Department.
But what caught the Fact Checker’s eye was Sessions’s statement that this step was being done “with the approval of the President of the United States.”
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