Trump Timeline ... Trumpocalypse

Telling It Like It Is ... TrumpTards, Trump[Fucking]Idiots, TrumpScum ...



I spent the first two decades of my career as a social scientist studying liars and their lies. I thought I had developed a sense of what to expect from them. Then along came President Trump. His lies are both more frequent and more malicious than ordinary people’s.

At The Washington Post, the Fact Checker feature has been tracking every false and misleading claim and flip-flop made by President Trump this year. The inclusion of misleading statements and flip-flops is consistent with the definition of lying my colleagues and I gave to our participants: “A lie occurs any time you intentionally try to mislead someone.” In the case of Trump’s claims, though, it is possible to ascertain only whether they were false or misleading, and not what the president’s intentions were.

In Trump’s first 298 days in office, however, he made 1,628 false or misleading claims or flip-flops, by The Post’s tally. That’s about six per day, far higher than the average rate in our studies. And of course, reporters have access to only a subset of Trump’s false statements — the ones he makes publicly — so unless he never stretches the truth in private, his actual rate of lying is almost certainly higher.

That rate has been accelerating. Starting in early October, The Post’s tracking showed that Trump told a remarkable nine lies a day, outpacing even the biggest liars in our research.

But the flood of deceit isn’t the most surprising finding about Trump.

Nearly two-thirds of Trump’s lies (65 percent) were self-serving. Examples included: “They’re big tax cuts — the biggest cuts in the history of our country, actually” and, about the people who came to see him on a presidential visit to Vietnam last month: “They were really lined up in the streets by the tens of thousands.”

Slightly less than 10 percent of Trump’s lies were kind ones, told to advantage, flatter or protect someone else. An example was his statement on Twitter that “it is a ‘miracle’ how fast the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police were able to find the demented shooter and stop him from even more killing!” In the broadest sense, it is possible to interpret every lie as ultimately self-serving, but I tried to stick to how statements appeared on the surface.

Trump told 6.6 times as many self-serving lies as kind ones. That’s a much higher ratio than we found for our study participants, who told about double the number of self-centered lies compared with kind ones.

The most stunning way Trump’s lies differed from our participants’, though, was in their cruelty. An astonishing 50 percent of Trump’s lies were hurtful or disparaging.

...

The sheer frequency of Trump’s lies appears to be having an effect, and it may not be the one he is going for. A Politico/Morning Consult poll from late October showed that only 35 percent of voters believed that Trump was honest, while 51 percent said he was not honest.
 


Terrorism has presented a tactical challenge to traditional conceptions of warfare. What do you do when people will use any tactics, operate outside your conception of morality and are willing to attack ordinary citizens to achieve their purposes? Hello, U.S. politics.

The question was sharpened this week as Democrats drove out an accused groper and the Republican Party endorsed an accused child molester. But this did not occur in isolation. It comes following the Republicans nominating an accused sexual predator, a systematic undermining of the standards of truth and science, and pretty openly working to build the wealth and power of a tiny fraction of the American people with a ruthless willingness to destroy any governing norms that stand in their way.

Democrats were faced with a situation in which they felt compelled to sacrifice an advocate of their agenda because of his alleged personal behavior. Republicans feel no such obligation. Roy Moore will do just fine, just as fine as President Trump. Democrats are presumably hoping that the voters will notice, and eventually say they have had enough of Republicans’ cynical malfeasance. Republicans, meanwhile, read their Machiavelli.

Democrats have found themselves working to provide health insurance for Trump voters at the same time Republicans tell their voters stunning whoppers about how they will give them something better, someday, just you wait. Democrats publicly recognize climate science and work to protect the environment of Trump voters at the same time Republicans privately acknowledge climate science but publicly tell their voters it’s just a big hoax. Democrats find themselves fighting for sane budget policy for Trump voters as Republicans lie to them about who benefits from their cataclysmically distorted tax “reform.”

Democrats are placing their faith in the corrective wisdom of the American voter. Republicans are placing their faith in their propaganda machinery to confuse and overwhelm the public, and to inflame and consequently blind their followers to this with demonization of minorities and empowered women.

And where does this increasingly divergent GOP strategy, of ends justifying means and ends being an anti-democratic oligarchy of the wealthy, lead? Our faith in democracy says it leads to a dead end. But so far it has lead us to President Trump, a Republican-controlled House, a Republican-controlled Senate and an increasingly Republican-controlled court system. If our system is self-correcting, it better start self-correcting pretty soon.

We are in an asymmetrical political war. And if it’s not literally terrorism, it is plenty terrifying enough.
 


Papadopoulos pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI and has agreed to cooperate with the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential campaign. He is due to be sentenced in January.

Mangiante said she decided to speak publicly to counter claims from President Donald Trump and his aides that Papadopoulos was, as Trump tweeted, a “young, low level volunteer.” Or in the words of campaign adviser Michael Caputo, a “coffee boy.”

Mangiante said he was far from a bit player in the historic Republican campaign.

...

Mangiante said Papadopoulos "set up meetings with leaders all over the world” for senior campaign officials. He was “constantly in touch with high-level officials in the campaign,” she added. That included direct communication with now-former senior Trump advisers Steve Bannon and Michael Flynn, Mangiante said, adding that she had seen correspondence supporting the assertion.

Neither Bannon nor an attorney for Flynn responded to a request for comment Thursday.

...

Mangiante said she was speaking out now because it has pained her to see her fiancé marginalized by his former campaign colleagues, and to make it clear that he now intends to help his country by cooperating fully.

“He was very brave and decent to take responsibility” for lying to the FBI, she said. “George is very loyal to his country.”

She said she believes he will now have a firm place in history as “the first domino in the Russia investigation.”
 


As a candidate, Trump dismissed the stock market boom as a mere “bubble”. His focus was on the labor market, which was a “disaster”. He would create lots of jobs.

Immediately after the election, there were a few good economic data points, and the Trump people argued that the economy was already improving under the influence of more positive expectations created by his victory. So let’s go with that assumption, and look at the economy in the 12 months since the election. Here is the rise in payroll employment over the past 12 months, as well as during the previous 4 years:

11/16 to 11/17: 2.071 million

11/15 to 11/16: 2.324 million

11/14 to 11/15: 2.729 million

11/13 to 11/14: 2.793 million

11/12 to 11/13: 2.499 million

So why has job growth slowed under Trump? After all, Trump claimed the “true” unemployment rate was 30% or 40%, so there’s obviously lots of labor market slack. Right?

Of course I’m being sarcastic. Both liberals and conservatives claimed there was lots of labor market slack, and they were both wrong. Liberals made that claim to justify expansionary monetary and fiscal policies, and conservatives wanted discredit the economic performance under Obama. In fact, we are nearing full employment. I expect one more decent year in 2018, and then job growth will become extremely slow beginning in 2019. RGDP growth will also slow in 2019. I say that because the tax cut will provide a modest boost to the economy in 2018, but not much after that.

Interestingly, this poor job growth occurred despite some very positive tailwinds:

1. Manufacturing employment actually picked up slightly, as the fracking boom resumed and lots of manufacturing jobs are related to that industry.

2. NGDP and RGDP growth has been a bit better in 2017.

3. There’s been a bit of deregulation.

Despite these factors, we are simply running out of bodies. Job growth will continue to slow sharply over the next few years, especially in 2019.

Other Trump promises that won’t be kept:

1. Repeal Obamacare.

2. Build the wall.

3. Build infrastructure.

4. Cut the top personal income tax rate from 43.4% to 25%. (Trump will increase it.)

5. Lock her up.

However Trump will succeed in continuing to move the GOP from being a party of economic/foreign policy/social conservatives, to a paranoid conspiracy theory mongering, fake news, anti-intellectual, pro coal, white nationalist party whose leadership endorses people who long for the days of slavery, want to ban Muslims from Congress and say gays should be locked up.

PS. Read this horrifying article about what they plan to do with capital gains taxes—increase the rate and make the system far more complex.
 
Bombshell: Roy Moore Accuser Beverly Nelson Admits She Forged Yearbook


Beverly Young Nelson has finally admitted that she forged a portion of the infamous high school yearbook that she and attorney Gloria Allred used as proof of her accusations against U.S. Senate candidate Roy Moore.

Bombshell: Roy Moore Accuser Beverly Nelson Admits She Forged Yearbook | ValuBit

Yes, she added the date beneath Pedophile Moore’s signature. Nothing else was changed.

What a pathetic excuse to discredit this woman.
 


Deputy national security adviser Dina Powell, a driving force behind the Trump administration’s Middle East policy, plans to leave the White House as part of an anticipated wave of departures following President Trump’s first year in office, according to four senior administration officials.

Unlike some top White House officials who were https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/07/31/anthony-scaramucci-removed-as-white-house-communications-director/?utm_term=.61a2727caa94 (fired) or https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/09/29/trump-to-decide-friday-night-whether-to-fire-hhs-secretary-price/ (resigned) amid controversy earlier this year, Powell is exiting on good terms with the president, the officials said. She and Trump have discussed her departure and are working on an arrangement for Powell to continue advising the administration on https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-white-house-speech-trump-recognizes-jerusalem-as-capital-of-israel-in-reversal-of-longtime-us-policy/2017/12/06/de9322e6-da9d-11e7-a841-2066faf731ef_story.html?utm_term=.ace846a3155e (Middle East policy)from outside the government, according to the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because Powell’s departure has not yet been publicly announced.

Powell committed to serving in her national security job for a full year and her decision to leave is her own, the officials said. She plans to move home early next year to New York, where her family lives.

National security adviser H.R. McMaster called Powell “one of the most talented and effective leaders with whom I have ever served.”
 


[I have always found this guy to be one of the most detestable politicians for his stance on abortions. A probable source for his animus is his own cleft lip/palate repair. But, this takes the cake as Franks' “discussion of surrogacy with two previous female subordinates, making each feel uncomfortable” can only have a one meaning since in vitro is opposed by these rabid antiabortionists! Because some of the fertilized eggs are invariably discarded, anti-abortion activists consider it [mass] murder. In their black and white universe, life begins at the moment of fertilization, period. So, what Franks wanted to do was FUCK THEM!]

Rep. Trent Franks, an Arizona Republican who is among the most conservative members of the House, said he would resign his seat after House officials learned that he had asked two female employees to bear his child as a surrogate.

Franks’s announcement came as the House Ethics Committee said it would create a special subcommittee to investigate Franks for conduct “that constitutes sexual harassment and/or retaliation for opposing sexual harassment.”

His resignation, which Franks said is effective Jan. 31, will end the ethics investigation.

Franks said in his statement that the investigation concerns his “discussion of surrogacy with two previous female subordinates, making each feel uncomfortable.”


 
Yes, she added the date beneath Pedophile Moore’s signature. Nothing else was changed.

What a pathetic excuse to discredit this woman.
When someone lies they discredit themselves. She put herself in this position and anyone that has been exposed as a liar should expect their credibility to be scrutinized.
 


[I have always found this guy to be one of the most detestable politicians for his stance on abortions. A probable source for his animus is his own cleft lip/palate repair. But, this takes the cake as Franks' “discussion of surrogacy with two previous female subordinates, making each feel uncomfortable” can only have a one meaning since in vitro is opposed by these rabid antiabortionists! Because some of the fertilized eggs are invariably discarded, anti-abortion activists consider it [mass] murder. In their black and white universe, life begins at the moment of fertilization, period. So, what Franks wanted to do was FUCK THEM!]

Rep. Trent Franks, an Arizona Republican who is among the most conservative members of the House, said he would resign his seat after House officials learned that he had asked two female employees to bear his child as a surrogate.

Franks’s announcement came as the House Ethics Committee said it would create a special subcommittee to investigate Franks for conduct “that constitutes sexual harassment and/or retaliation for opposing sexual harassment.”

His resignation, which Franks said is effective Jan. 31, will end the ethics investigation.

Franks said in his statement that the investigation concerns his “discussion of surrogacy with two previous female subordinates, making each feel uncomfortable.”


It was just as I proffered!!!



The sources said Franks approached two female staffers about acting as a potential surrogate for him and his wife, who has struggled with fertility issues for years. But the aides were concerned that Franks was asking to have sexual relations with them. It was not clear to the women whether he was asking about impregnating the women through sexual intercourse or in vitro fertilization. Franks opposes abortion rights as well as procedures that discard embryos.

A former staffer also alleged that Franks tried to persuade a female aide that they were in love by having her read an article that described how a person knows they’re in love with someone, the sources said. One woman believed she was the subject of retribution after rebuffing Franks. While she enjoyed access to the congressman before the incident, that access was revoked afterward, she told Republican leaders.
 
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