With Covid-19 cases rising or remaining at extremely high rates in most states, many places in the United States need to immediately reinstate lockdowns to have a chance of regaining control over the epidemic.
We don’t call for new lockdowns lightly and recognize the serious damage they can cause for so many people already under extreme social, economic, and psychological duress. However, the pain millions of Americans are already facing cannot be resolved unless we get the epidemic under control. There are also several ways we can use what we’ve learned in the past few months to implement lockdowns in less restrictive and smarter ways.
The Case for a New Round of Lockdowns
While we have been strong proponents of measures such as
better masks for the general population and
instituting prevention strategies in workplaces and other venues to get our lives back, we also understand when those measures are not enough, and many places have passed that threshold. The data speaks loudly:
More than 35 U.S. states have positivity rates higher than 5%, the
World Health Organization’s threshold for reopening, and many are over three times this level; three states (Florida, California, and Texas) reported over 8,000 new infections in a single day at least once within the past week. With the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
estimating that we may only be detecting 10% of all infections, these cases are only the tip of the iceberg.
While cases are plateauing and even trending downward in some areas, this level of circulating virus will not be reduced quickly enough for schools, businesses, and other key institutions to safely open. Once colder weather sets in, people will spend more time indoors, and the flu and other seasonal respiratory illnesses — which cause symptoms similar to Covid-19 — will also begin circulating and further strain already-insufficient testing capacity. In addition, more and more evidence show that Covid-19 may cause
serious and lasting health effects — even in younger people who have only mild infection.
New Approaches to Lockdowns
Consequently, a new round of lockdowns should be implemented to prevent the current worrisome situation from becoming much worse. But we believe that they should be applied in a way that is tailored to local conditions.
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