Time [Years] to Publication Among Completed Clinical Trials
Prior studies have shown that 25% to 50% of clinical trials are never published. However, among those published, we know little about the length of time required for publication in the peer-reviewed biomedical literature after study completion. Ioannidis previously demonstrated that a sample of randomized phase 2 and 3 trials conducted between 1986 and 1996 required nearly 2.5 years for publication, while our more recent study of National Institutes of Health (NIH)-funded trials found that the average time to publication was almost 2 years. We sought to determine time to publication for a recent and representative sample of trials published in 2009.
We found, on average, that nearly 2 years had passed between completion and publication of clinical trials, across all trial funders. Moreover, given that our study was necessarily limited to examining time to publication among completed trials that were eventually published, this estimate is conservative. First, we studied trials registered in and linked to ClinicalTrials.gov, a select group of studies. Because of policies in place as of 2005, many may have been registered to ensure compliance with International Committee of Medical Journal Editors requirements for publication and thus more likely to publish in a timely manner. Second, we only studied trials that were published (and indexed via MEDLINE and linked to ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers). Between 50% and 70% of studies registered in ClinicalTrials.gov are eventually published many years after trial completion; 30% to 50% are never published.
We cannot rule out that study findings may have been disseminated through means other than publication, including scientific meeting presentations. However, with the exception of public results reporting, these alternative dissemination strategies lead to limited public awareness of the research. Given the time required to publish results from these clinical trials, our findings support current federal initiatives requiring results reporting of clinical studies within 12 months of trial completion to ensure the timely dissemination of clinical science.
Ross JS, Mocanu M, Lampropulos JF, Tse T, Krumholz HM. Time to Publication Among Completed Clinical Trials. JAMA Intern Med. 2013:1-3. JAMA Network | JAMA Internal Medicine | Time to Publication Among Completed Clinical Trials
Prior studies have shown that 25% to 50% of clinical trials are never published. However, among those published, we know little about the length of time required for publication in the peer-reviewed biomedical literature after study completion. Ioannidis previously demonstrated that a sample of randomized phase 2 and 3 trials conducted between 1986 and 1996 required nearly 2.5 years for publication, while our more recent study of National Institutes of Health (NIH)-funded trials found that the average time to publication was almost 2 years. We sought to determine time to publication for a recent and representative sample of trials published in 2009.
We found, on average, that nearly 2 years had passed between completion and publication of clinical trials, across all trial funders. Moreover, given that our study was necessarily limited to examining time to publication among completed trials that were eventually published, this estimate is conservative. First, we studied trials registered in and linked to ClinicalTrials.gov, a select group of studies. Because of policies in place as of 2005, many may have been registered to ensure compliance with International Committee of Medical Journal Editors requirements for publication and thus more likely to publish in a timely manner. Second, we only studied trials that were published (and indexed via MEDLINE and linked to ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers). Between 50% and 70% of studies registered in ClinicalTrials.gov are eventually published many years after trial completion; 30% to 50% are never published.
We cannot rule out that study findings may have been disseminated through means other than publication, including scientific meeting presentations. However, with the exception of public results reporting, these alternative dissemination strategies lead to limited public awareness of the research. Given the time required to publish results from these clinical trials, our findings support current federal initiatives requiring results reporting of clinical studies within 12 months of trial completion to ensure the timely dissemination of clinical science.
Ross JS, Mocanu M, Lampropulos JF, Tse T, Krumholz HM. Time to Publication Among Completed Clinical Trials. JAMA Intern Med. 2013:1-3. JAMA Network | JAMA Internal Medicine | Time to Publication Among Completed Clinical Trials