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Bob Smith said:I didnt say that ALL social security sucks, only the vast majority. The problem I see with it is that my money is being taken away to send a check to both my grandmothers, you, and millions of other people. Individuals should be responsible for their own financial future instead of being a major drain on taxpayers. I say we go back to 1934.[/QUOTE
As a taxpayer for over 50 years, I will probably not live long enough to
recover what I put into social security. I would like to think that some of that money helps your grandmothers.
oldawg said:As a taxpayer for over 50 years, I will probably not live long enough to recover what I put into social security. I would like to think that some of that money helps your grandmothers.
oldawg said:I would like to think that some of that money helps your grandmothers.
Ronin_ said:Bob 60-75k and not truly well off??? Is your family the Hiltons or something?? Here we have a minimum income guarantee of $600/month for a single person. Or if a couple $800. Here your grandma would be 1 in a million.
Not a bad analysis but you forgot one thing. If I could have put my social security moneyPhreezer said:Actualy, you'll probably recover everything that you've ever paid into social security by the time your seventy bro..
Figure the average payments from SSA will be about $1000 dollars a month (you'll probably be closer to 1200-1300 if you've had a fairly good work record) but we'll say 1000 for the sake of this arguement.. You will draw roughly 12k a year.. over the course of 5 years...assuming you wait untill you're 65 and 4 months before you start drawing (that should be about your "full retirement age").. You can start drawing at 62 with a slight % penalty for every year that you drew early.... Anyway.. let's say you draw for 5 years at 12 k a year.. that is $60,000 that you will draw (granted this is a very low estimate..but it's only for arguement's sake) The average american Middle class to upper middle class pays in between 2k and 4k a year in social security tax (and that's based on today's standards...20 years ago you would have only paid in about 400-800 dollars a year) .
So lets say you pay in 2k a year for 30 years (no way, it's way less..even for the very rich because of the caps that are placed on the amount of SSA tax that can be paid, and there is a curve for depreciation and inflation..2k a year is WAAAY over estimating what you've paid in so I'll lump those first ten years or so you worked back in the 50's/60's where you paid less than a 100-200 dollars a year in tax and we'll lump it in on the total.... So you've now drawn 60k over a five year period, You've paid in about 60k over your lifetime.... SOOOOO, You will be breaking even on the paid-out/pay-recieved as soon as this five year period expires.....
Now, Lets look at the average life expectancy.. 77 for a white male.. That means that if you just live to the average age your expected to, you'll have drawin about 250% more than you ever paid in... And mind you, I estimated your monthly benefit very low.. and the amount you've paid in Very HIGH.. So in all proability you'll have drawn more than you paid by the time your 68-69 ish...
And before the questions and slander starts...Remember Social Security was NEVER intended to be the only source of income for the elderly.. IT was only supposed to be a SUPPLIMENT.
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5% interest over the long haul would really suck, but its still better than SS. Depending on which market one refers to, they have historically averaged 8-14% compounded annually. For most people, I cant see why they would bother "diversifying" with mutual funds or multiple mutual funds instead of just buying a very low expense index fund like the Vanguard 500 or similar. Youd end up beating about 90% of all fund managers and with a much lower expense ratio.oldawg said:Not a bad analysis but you forgot one thing. If I could have put my social security money
into an account with a 5% compound interest rate it would now be worth well over a million dollars . Damn, that makes Bob Smith right.
Social security sucks. And, your'e right, it was only intended to be a
SUPPLEMENT.
Bob Smith said:5% interest over the long haul would really suck, but its still better than SS. Depending on which market one refers to, they have historically averaged 8-14% compounded annually. For most people, I cant see why they would bother "diversifying" with mutual funds or multiple mutual funds instead of just buying a very low expense index fund like the Vanguard 500 or similar. Youd end up beating about 90% of all fund managers and with a much lower expense ratio.
Bob Smith said:Yeah, pretty much anyone could get 5% without much effort. And even then, they could probably go with a lower investment grade bond or bond fund and hit 5% with no real chance at losing your principle. Im not really a big fan of bonds, though.
Now to the real question, what opinions of mine do you disagree with?![]()
