Hypersonic
New Member
Early Jan I had an Indian pack seized (EMS) but wasn't sure until I got the letter a month later. No controlled substances. Then I had an Indiapost pack come through in 7 days early Feb - fastest I've experienced - and a reship of the first pack came a few days later via UAE.
That January pack was my first seizure, but I got lucky because I used a "PCT" vendor (not on meso) who offers reship. This was odd because I've never used a vendor who offered reship before, preferring vetted, cheap Indiamart vendors for the past two years though they offer no reship. What are the odds of all this?
I used to work with a grumpy statistician who harped on about expected value and Bayesian statistics all the time and I would, at every opportunity, ask him that kind of question much to his annoyance and my amusement. He would be working out the math of this situation already (Grok 3 is faster) and would have told me by now to keep ordering from the cheap guys. The posterior probability has barely nudged, I know he would say. Yet my emotional animal brain felt comforted by the safety net of the "free" reship (actually paid for in advance because of the 2x initial price) and may end up winning out the next time because it knows better than to ever trust a statistician.
That January pack was my first seizure, but I got lucky because I used a "PCT" vendor (not on meso) who offers reship. This was odd because I've never used a vendor who offered reship before, preferring vetted, cheap Indiamart vendors for the past two years though they offer no reship. What are the odds of all this?
I used to work with a grumpy statistician who harped on about expected value and Bayesian statistics all the time and I would, at every opportunity, ask him that kind of question much to his annoyance and my amusement. He would be working out the math of this situation already (Grok 3 is faster) and would have told me by now to keep ordering from the cheap guys. The posterior probability has barely nudged, I know he would say. Yet my emotional animal brain felt comforted by the safety net of the "free" reship (actually paid for in advance because of the 2x initial price) and may end up winning out the next time because it knows better than to ever trust a statistician.