This is where I'm getting this from:There will be another wave of mobilization. I kind of read in the media that Putin denies this?
Institute for the Study of War
This page collects ISW and CTP's updates on the conflict in Ukraine. In late February 2022, ISW began publishing daily synthetic products covering key events related to renewed Russian aggression against Ukraine.
The continuation of covert mobilization efforts and potential preparations for another mobilization wave in tandem with the current fall conscription cycle are likely adding substantial strain to an already over-burdened Russian force generation apparatus. As ISW previously assessed, Putin likely ordered the end of partial mobilization in order to free up bureaucratic and administrative capacity for the November 1 conscription class.[7] However, it is evident that Russian authorities never fully halted mobilization efforts, which means that a limited number of mobilized recruits are still being forced through the training system at the same time as conscripts are going through their own training cycle. This will likely lead to even lower quality training for both mobilized recruits and conscripts as they compete for insufficient training capacity. Another wave of mobilization in the coming months will only worsen the situation and likely degrade the overall quality of the Russian troops that will be funneled to the frontline in Ukraine."
It seems likely to me. If they're going to stay on the defensive the Ukrainians will never go to the negotiation table. If they're going to go on the offensive they'll need more than the 200k coming (about 100k have already arrived.) And the first round of mobilization went pretty poorly. But it could just be that these Russian milbloggers are just hoping that something drastic will be done to change the momentum.
I think I read that President Xi called Putin up and basically said "so far we've been neutral but if you start launching nukes we'll have no choice but to join the Europeans and Americans on this." I'm pretty sure he would become a modern day Hitler at that point.Probably the worst thing is the unpredictable actions of Mr. Putin. After all, what can he do next if he continues to suffer bad luck in Ukraine. I don't want to think about the nuclear button.
edit: here's a link:
China’s Xi warns Putin not to use nuclear arms in Ukraine
Chinese leader makes the call during a visit by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
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