I believe there are valuable lessons we can all take away from this situation:
1. Opsec and Paranoia:It's crucial to be cautious and paranoid when involved in activities that are against the law. Sometimes, people can develop a false sense of superiority and believe their operational security (opsec) is foolproof. However, underestimating the possibility of getting caught can lead to disastrous consequences. Like read how he chatted in this forum and you will have his sense of superiority above EVERYONE.
Even with a seemingly low 0.001% chance of getting caught for each package, if you're sending out a large number of them, the overall risk of getting caught increases significantly. Additionally, assuming that each instance of getting caught is independent might not hold true, as being caught once could heighten suspicion and the likelihood of being caught again. So, there's approximately a 2% chance that the person would be caught if they sent out 4,000 illicit packages, each with a 0.001% chance of getting caught.Please note that this is a simplified calculation and does not take into account various real-world factors and assumptions about law enforcement, surveillance, and other variables that could affect the actual outcome. You didn't calculate with rats. Once I was ratted out by the post office and since I knew the laws here I only ordered small amounts I admitted and didnt get anything. Police officer laughed when I asked him "could I still get my package?". (edit: THE SEIZED PACK WASNT FROM LISKA. THE 2 TIMES I ORDERED I GOT IT. I also said liska to wrap packages in a different way and he thought I attack his opsec trying to slender him...lol i didnt)
2. Growing Too Big:It's easy to get carried away when you're involved in illicit activities. Starting small and gradually expanding may seem like a good strategy, but there's a fine line between caution and recklessness. Some people become overconfident, thinking they can't possibly get caught. However, as they grow and involve more people in the shipping process, they run the risk of raising suspicion, which can increase their chances of getting caught. Additionally, there's always the possibility of individuals reporting illegal activities out of spite or for no apparent reason. in conclusion, the recent case of Liska serves as a reminder that engaging in illicit activities always carries risks. Overconfidence or carelessness (not saying it was 100%! but i see some chances) can lead to severe consequences, even if the initial chances of getting caught seem low. And you can always just run very unlucky.
Liska, I know you are a smart guy and I wish you hid some money somewhere... so when you got out of prison you can live like a king for the rest of your life. Hope you find your peace somewhere too.